Philip Tetlock has written a fantastic new book entitled: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction that I strongly suggest you read. In the book Tetlock identifies a “rough composite portrait” of a what he calls a “superforecaster” and to me it looks like a picture of Charlie Munger. In my post this week I identify statements from Charlie Munger which I believe fit the Philip Tetlock profile. … Continue reading A Dozen Ways Charlie Munger Thinks like Philip Tetlock Suggests in his New Book Superforecasting